Raymond concedes, happy with results

Raymond concedes, happy with results

Cebu Daily News
Last updated 02:10pm (Mla time) 05/18/2007
OPPOSITION candidate Raymond Garcia has conceded defeat to Cebu City Vice Mayor Mike Rama.

“Concede na ko. Hagbay ra,” he told Cebu Daily News.

Garcia of Tribu Guardo said he was supposed to make a formal announcement yesterday in a press conference but he decided to move it today. “I will read a prepared statement.”

He said he was “very satisfied” with the results of the elections and was happy with the number of votes he garnered because this indicated that there were people who believed in him.

Asked about his plans, Garcia replied: “I will practice law. I long for it. I prepared for it for five years.”

But he said he would remain active in city politics. “I would make myself available to give my comments and opinion especially on matters affecting the City Council and City Hall.

Tribu Guardo standard bearer Mary Ann delos Santos congratulated her opponent Mayor Tomas Osmeña on Tuesday when the canvassing of the returns in Cebu City started.in.jpg

Yapha puzzled by Garcia’s margin

in.jpgBy Jhunnex Napallacan, Suzzane Salva-Alueta
Cebu Daily News
Last updated 02:23pm (Mla time) 05/18/2007
OUTGOING Rep. Antonio Yapha Jr. continues to trail Gov. Gwen Garcia in the gubernatorial race, even in his own district.

The governor widened her lead to over 200,000 votes in the official canvass of 32 out of 47 Cebu towns.

Yapha said he was puzzled by his poor showing in the 3rd district and hinted that there was something wrong in the result of the elections.

“I think there is something wrong in the result,” Yapha said yesterday as he could not believe that in areas where his candidates for mayor won by almost 20,000 margin, he just got a 1,000 margin.

Yapha said that in Toledo City, his mayor Arlene Zambo won by about 21,000 votes but he only got a margin of over 1,000 votes.

In the previous elections, he added, he was able to win by a margin of 25,000 votes in Toledo.

In Tuburan, Yapha said his mayoralty and vice mayoralty candidates got a margin of 21,000 and 8,000 votes. But his lead over Garcia was only 1,000 votes.

He said he could not believe that he and his running mate Clavel Asas-Martinez were junked by their leaders because they were not that kind of people.

Yapha raised suspicion he could have been cheated, saying he received reports that the watchers from other camp tore down the ballots of his supporters in one of the precincts in Pinamungahan town.

“Duna de-karga nga gisakyan sa pikas gibabag sa dalan. Ang mga watchers nila nanggisi sa balota sa akong mga tawo sa barangay Anapog (A truck of the rival camp blocked the road. Their watchers tore down the ballots of our people in barangay Anapog),” he said.

Lawyer Pablo John Garcia, the governor’s brother, turned the tables on the candidate, saying it was Yapha’s camp that harassed them in Anapog.

He claimed that the congressman’s son Mayor Jeffrey Yapha, who was running for vice mayor of the town, tried to enter the polling precinct but was blocked by their lawyer Reynaldo Ferenal.

But Jeffrey collared Ferenal and shook him, said Pablo John, who is running for congressman in the third district against Yapha’s wife, Board Member Estrella Yapha.

“Silay nanghasi sa barangay Anapog, sa Buhing-Tubig, ug sa Rizal ug ubang mga barangays nga napildi sila (They were the ones harassing in barangay Anapog, in Buhing-Tubig and in Rizal and in other barangays where they lost),” said Pablo John.

Partial count at the Provincial Board of Canvassers as of 10 last night showed that Governor Garcia leading by 228,268 votes based on the Certificate of Canvass from 32 of the 47 towns in the province.

She garnered 321,875 votes, way ahead from Yapha’s 93,607 votes.

Her running mate, Vice Gov. Gregorio Sanchez also enjoyed the same lead over Martinez. Sanchez had 263,251 votes while Martinez only garnered 98,158 votes.

Asked if she would concede defeat, Martinez replied: “If it’s fair play, I will readily concede but if not, I will not concede on any wrong doing.”

“Concede? Not yet because we still are figuring out what is happening in this election because so many unusual things are happening in this election. I hope this country can still be saved.”

She asked the Cebuanos to understand, saying there were “things” that needed to be “straightened out” and not because they were hungry for power.

The congressional bets of Garcia’s One Cebu party, including the governor’s father and brother, were enjoying wide margin over their opponents based on partial results from the Commission on Elections.

The Garcia camp earlier said the results were an indication that the Cebuanos did not want to divide Cebu.

Martinez, who authored a pending bill carving out a new province composed of the towns in her district, said she still hoped that efforts to create additional provinces out of Cebu would continue.

“They (administration) made it very bad, but we were hoping that the Cebuanos can better understand the issues and they could spell out what is meant by having sub provinces taking into account the examples of other provinces,” she said.

Clavel: Keeping fourth district more important

By Suzzane Salva-Alueta
Cebu Daily News
Last updated 02:17pm (Mla time) 05/18/2007
SHE can accept losing in the Cebu vice gubernatorial race but not the 4th district where her family has dominated for the past 30 years.

Outgoing Rep. Clavel Asas-Martinez told a news conference yesterday that at the moment, her candidacy was only secondary for her. “The primary importance for me is the preservation of our district.”

Now, Martinez wants to protect the votes of her son outgoing Bogo Mayor Celestino Martinez III who is running for congressman against former ally Benhur Salimbagon.

She said she would ask the Commission on Elections (Comelec) to declare a failure of elections in the municipalities of Daanbantayan, Madridejos and Tabuelan in the 4th district.

Clavel said she was willing to fight this all the way up to the Supreme Court.

“Even the entire 4th district if needed tan-awon nato, mag iyahay tag bantay (we should watch over it),” she said.

Her basis in asking for the declaration of a failure of election would be anchored on the confiscation of firearms, arrest of goons and other election fraud reportedly recorded by their men on the field.

As of 10 last night, Salimbangon was leading in the congressional race by 1,648 over Tining in the partial count by the Provincial Board of Canvassers. Salimbangon got 21,989 while Tining got 20,341 votes.

Clavel was confident that their hometown, Bogo, would give her son the lead. This was the reason why her son’s opponent was creating tension, she added.

“They know that Bogo will always deliver a good majority for Tining Martinez and they are thinking that whatever result will come out will offset whatever gains Salimbangon has made,” she said.

She claimed that Salimbangon’s gain was questionable because her son had many stray votes due to the entry of another Martinez, Edilito, who was running in the same position.

Clavel lamented the failure of the Comelec to rule on their petition to declare Edilito Martinez a nuisance candidate.

“Tining Martinez has so many stray votes. We are hoping that the Comelec will act on it (petition) immediately because at least the ballot boxes are there and a recount can be made which I think dili na sila mo act. (I) don’t know why Comelec is like that?” she said.

Clavel said she believed that Edilito was purposely asked to run for Congress to sabotage Tining’s candidacy.

Edilito, she added, was a nuisance candidate because after submitting his certificate of candidacy, he did not campaign, did not have a poster. “He is even nowhere to be found.”

“Our people in the district is used to writing Martinez especially those who have a hard time writing. So, the same has been considered a stray vote. Ang stray votes ang nakadaot. We are crossing our fingers and we are confident that Tining will still win but the margin of difference will be very slight,” she said.

In the case of the Certificate of Canvass for Bogo, Clavel said they would object the move of Comelec to replace the two other members of the Board of Municipal Canvassers.

“Dili mana mailisan kay wala may inhibition. There was no showing that they have transgressed any provision of the law. Dili pud maayo nga ilang hapiton hasta ang ubang canvassers,” she said.

Clavel said they did not object when it was ruled that the canvassing of the votes be held in Cebu City, “because we thought it was for the benefit of the municipal government and the board of canvassers.”

She said they had been keeping their silence and holding their punches because they did not want to aggravate the situation in the area. Thus, Salimbangon’s camp was allowed to rally despite the absence of a permit.

“I ask Junnie (Martinez), why don’t you let the people in Bogo show their sentiments but he said `ayaw na kay magkainitay na, magkagubot pa gyud og samot.’ We did not stop them and now dili maayo nga ila ming butang-butangan and the time has come to say our piece and the Comelec is seemingly in connivance with them. It’s unfair,” she said.

Why Cebu City canvassing crawls

in.jpgBy Wilfredo Rodolfo III
Cebu Daily News
Last updated 02:13pm (Mla time) 05/18/2007
DESPITE lagging behind citizen quick counts, the official canvassing of votes in Cebu City is one of the fastest, according to an official of the Commission on Elections.

“Compared to previous canvassing, the process is smoother now and the pace is okay,” said election officer Marchel Sarnor of Cebu City’s north district.

While quick counts have passed the halfway mark, the official canvassing yesterday completed the first 200 out of 2,300 precincts in Cebu City.

At the canvassing area at the Ecotech center in Lahug, all eyes were on the three-member Board of Election Canvassers (BOC) on stage. Lawyers from contending sides surrounded them.

On the main floor, 23 sub-canvassing committees are each manned by three official personnel and surrounded by five watchers. At the center of the hall are 11 pairs of tabulators, who add the election results into a summary.

A long table near the main entrance is manned by the ruling Bando Osmeña – Pundok Kauswagan (BO-PK). At the right side of the amphitheater , a group of women keep election documents on hand in case questions arise.

Faster

BO-PK l awyers said they would have wanted the canvassing to go faster but acknowledged that petitions filed by the opposition are part of the process.

“The canvassing is a also a test of your endurance. We need to work in shifts so we could rest,” BO-PK lead counsel Allan Gaviola said.

Opposition lawyer Rico Tautho, for his part, said they only wanted to be sure the votes were counted right.

“There were some returns which were not filled out completely by the Board of Election inspectors so we have to question that. The right step is to summon these teachers but we even agreed to a compromise just to make things faster,” he said.

Out of 300 or so election returns (ER) so far canvassed by the Board of Election Canvassers (BOC), the body has deferred some 20 returns after they were questioned by the opposition.

At one point, opposition lawyers questioned why the BEI of precinct 1594-A in Guadalupe had two sets of ERs bearing the same serial numbers.

Sarno later explained it as a “printing error” and that the BEI kept the second set blank.

“When they came here the ER was still blank. If they wanted to cheat, it should have been filled up,” he said.

Process

The canvassing starts with the BOC opening ER folders one by one. The ERs are shown to the lawyers who each check the document for irregularities.

When they see one, the lawyers call out to their corner, sometimes through hand signals, to indicate the precinct number of the ER in question. The party’s ER copies are then sent to the BOC for comparison.

If there are no questions, the ER gets through. One ER folder can be processed in less than five minutes.

The folders are then hand carried to one of the 23 sub-canvassing committees, which transfers the results from the ER to another document called the Statement of Votes (SOV).

The name of each candidate is read out— from senator, partylist to councilor and his votes — as two staffer members transfer the data to the SOV. Party watchers stand behind the committee members observing the whole process which takes about 10 minutes.

When an SOV is filled, it is passed on to tabulators who use calculators to add the entries in the SOVs and transfer the sum to a Summary of Statements of Votes (SSOV).

Each SSOV has 10 columns to be filled up with data from 10 SOVs. The tabulation is the lengthiest stage. It takes an hour to add SOV results, read each score, input data in the calculator and review all figures.

The SSOV is then tabulated before it is transferred to the final document from the city, the Certificate of Canvass (COC). Toshiyuki Saito, a Japanese foreign observer, said he now understands why election results in the Philippines takes so long. “In our country, we use computers. I hope your country will soon start using computers, too,” he said.

605 votes spell victory

By Chris Ligan
Cebu Daily News
Last updated 02:10pm (Mla time) 05/18/2007
TWO more Cebu mayoralty candidates were proclaimed winners last night — one by a hairline victory, the other by a landslide.

Law school dean Adelino Sitoy of Cordova town won by 605 votes against his cousin, the vice mayor.

In Talisay City, reelectionist Mayor Socrates Fernandez won by a landslide of more than double the votes of his closest rival Gabriel Leyson, former councilor of Cebu City.

Three days of tense canvassing in Cordova town in Mactan ended with the results in favor of Sitoy, father of the town’s incumbent mayor Arleigh Sitoy.

One of his first challenges, while celebrating his victory, would be to ensure a proper legal defense for son Arleigh, whose Starex van was found to contain an M14 rifle, two pistols and bundles of P100 and P200 bills when Lapu-Lapu city police seized the parked vehicle the night before the May 14 elections.

Although Adelino, dean of the University of Cebu college of law, first claimed ownership of the van when police confiscated it, registration papers of the vehicle later revealed the name of the mayor, Arleigh.

The candidate denied any knowledge of the weapons inside and said he would file charges against the police for searching the car without a warrant.

Adelino Sitoy, a candidate of One-Cebu/Kampi, won over his cousin Danilo Sinugbuhan of Barug Abante Cordova/Lakas-CMD with a slim lead of 605 votes.

Sitoy garnered 8,750 votes while Sinugbuhan got 8,145 votes.

The results could have swung either way.

Due to the high emotions in the crowded canvass hall where hundreds of supporters in both sides awaited the results, election officer Jose Barriga delayed the proclamation several hours until late in the evening.

Sitoy together with his six winning candidates for councilors were proclaimed as winners by Barriga, chairman of the Board of Canvassers.

Lawyer Rodrigo Jumao-as of Barug Abante was proclaimed winner of the vice mayoralty race with a total of 8,611 votes over Stephanie Sitoy who got 7,300.

The council winners were led by reelectionist Manuel Pacaldo of One-Cebu/KAMPI occupies, Victor “Boyet” Tago III of BAC/Lakas. Other winners for councilors under Sitoy’s slate include Em-em Sitoy, Roque Yburan; Rogelio Tirol, Rodrigo Sumagang, and Remegia Prochina and reelectionist Cesar Suan of BAC/Lakas-CMD.

Ballot boxes for the last two precincts to be opened caused a commotion after doubts were raised that the Election Results inside were tampered.

Defeated Vice Mayor Sinugbuhan said he was no longer interested in filing an election protest in order not to add more tension.

“Let us be (good) sports and accept defeat. Itugyan lang nato sa kahitas-an ang tanan,” Sinugbuhan said.in.jpg

The Philippine Poverty Situation

The Philippine Poverty Situation

BEYOND POVERTY MEASURES, INEQUALITY GROWS

 

In 2006, the US$12.4 billion net worth of the Philippines ’ 10 richest is equivalent to the combined annual income of the poorest 9.8 million households.

 

By Rosario Bella Guzman

 

IBON Features—In the Philippines, not only is poverty increasing, so are income inequalities. As the old line goes, the rich are getting richer while the poor are sinking deeper into poverty– and this has proved especially true under the Arroyo administration.

 

Based on various years of the Family Income and Expenditure Survey (FIES), income distribution is skewed and has worsened since 1985. Over the period, the share of the poorest 60% of families in the national income decreased by 1.8 percentage points while the top 20% were able to increase their share by 1.2 percentage points.

 

According to the 2003 FIES, the richest 20% of the population account for 53% of total national income while the bottom 20% get only 4.63 percent. The income of the richest 10% of households is 21 times that of the poorest 10 percent.

 

Such inequality cannot be explained by simply attributing it to differences between regions and economic sectors (i.e. incomes of families in Metro Manila are higher than those in the Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao).

 

Income inequality is primarily due to the differences in the ownership and control of the country’s resources within the regions, provinces, urban or rural areas, and economic activities. In short, inequality is still the result of a few foreign and local elite monopolizing the country’s resources and employing the rest of the people, as shown by examining the country’s agriculture and industry sectors.

 

Dominated by a few families

 

Agriculture is still the country’s major economic activity, directly and indirectly accounting for around three-fourths of the gross domesti c p roduct (GDP) and 40% of transactions in the market while employing 70% of the labor force. Yet the majority of the country’s poor still live in the countryside, precisely because land remains concentrated in the hands of a relatively few land-owing families.

 

Based on the latest census of agriculture, less than one-third of total landowners still own more than 80% of the country’s agricultural land. Fifty two percent of the farms in the country covering 51% of total farm area remain under tenancy, lease, and other forms of tenurial arrangements. The average farm size is two hectares– subsistence and household level– while 49% of the farms still use primitive technology such as plows and carabaos. Forty-two percent of these farms are not even owned by the farmers.

 

The dominant families in the country are the land-owning ones whose interests also extend to trade, banking and finance, real estate, as well as manufacturing. The country’s regions can virtually be subdivided into fiefdoms according to the ownership of lands by these families, who include Danding Cojuangco who owns 19,000 hectares all over the archipelago; the Roxases with 8,500 hectares in Batangas; the Cojuangcos (of Cory Aquino) who own the 6,000-hectare Hacienda Luisita in Tarlac; and others such as the Floirendos of Southern Mindanao, Dys of Northern Luzon and the Zubiris of Bukidnon.

 

To defend their land monopoly they have also stuffed the legislature with representatives from within their own clans. According to a study by the Philippine Center for Investigative Journalism, some 60% of the membership of the 12th Congress (2001-2004) came from the land-owning families or represent their interests in legislation.

 

On the other hand, foreign and local capitalists dominate local industry and services. Transnational corporations (TNCs) are concentrated to a large extent in manufacturing, followed by wholesale and retail trade and financial intermediation. In manufacturing, TNCs account for the bulk of the revenues derived by the top 1,000 corporations.

 

The largest TNCs operating in the country include the likes of Texas Instruments, Royal Dutch Shell, Toshiba, Chevron-Texaco, Nestlé, Fujitsu, Philips, Zuellig and Panasonic. By nationality, over half of the TNC revenues are accounted for by Japan (29.4%) and the US (23.8%), distantly followed by the Netherlands (7.3%), Great Britain (6.8%), Switzerland (3.5%) and Germany (1.6%).

 

The largest transnational banks (TNBs) operating in the country are Citibank, Hong Kong and Shanghai Banking Corporation (HSBC), Standard Chartered and Deutsche Bank, and ING Bank, with the top five TNBs net income reaching P5.5 billion in 2004.

 

Local family conglomerates are owned and controlled by the country’s biggest landlords and businessmen. The top ten conglomerates in 2004 were those owned by the Cojuangcos (San Miguel Corporation); Gokongweis (JG Summit); Ayalas (Ayala Corporation); Henry Sy (SM Investments); Lopezes (Benpres Holdings); George Go and family (Equitable PCI, which has lately merged with Banco de Oro owned by the Sy family); Concepcions (RFM Corporation); Villars (Filinvest); Pangilinans (Metro Pacific); and Andres Soriano and family (A. Soriano Corporation). Their revenues in 2004 totaled P334 billion.

 

No Trickle-Down

 

There has been increasing poverty and inequality under Arroyo despite much-hyped economic growth. This only serves to underscore the distorted character of the economy during her watch.

 

Late last year, the government as well as private economists claimed that per capita income or the share of every Filipino in the country’s wealth as measured by the gross domestic product (GDP) would hit $1,400 (approximately P71,834) by the end of 2006. But even government economi c p lanners had to admit that the national wealth was not shared equally.

 

In fact, if the shares to total income defined in the 2003 FIES were used to allocate the 2006 GDP, the poorest 10% would have a per capita annual income of just P2,781 while the richest 10% would have a per capita income of P56,695 (based on an average family size of five).

 

This inequality is further reflected in the huge gap between the wealth of the country’s richest individuals and families and the poorest Filipinos. The US$12.4 billion net worth as of 2006 of the country’s 10 richest is equivalent to the combined annual income of the poorest 9.8 million households (i.e. P625 billion in 2003).

 

Hence, more than ever, economic growth under Arroyo continues to measure the growing profits and wealth of a few rather than the welfare of the many. But in the context of a Philippine economic system that favors the rich and powerful, it should not be surprising that while poverty increases in the country, so does inequality. IBON Features

ELECTIONS IN RP: ILLUSION OF DEMOCRACY?

ELECTIONS IN RP: ILLUSION OF DEMOCRACY?

 

The closing of voting precincts sees the end only of the first salvo of election cheating with the wholesale manufacturing of the eventual outcome still to come. This is bad enough, but unfortunately the problem with the Philippine electoral exercise actually goes much deeper.

 

By Sonny Africa

IBON Research Head

 

IBON Features–No one disputes that the Philippines is mired in economic and political crises. There is endemic poverty that despite government hype everyone knows is nowhere near being overcome. Around 65 million Filipinos struggle to live on P96 or less a day, according to the latest 2003 Family Income and Expenditure Survey (FIES) of the National Statistics Office (NSO). The net worth of just the ten richest Filipinos is equivalent to the combined annual income of the poorest 49 million Filipinos. The situation can only get worse with corporate profits rising even as joblessness is at a sustained historic high.

 

At the same time is public dismay over a political landscape strewn with issues: illegitimacy, continuing bureaucratic corruption, patronage and self-serving politicians. Worst of all are the unabated political killings and disappearances of over a thousand Filipinos daring to struggle for a more humane future and an end to the country’s chronic crises. This is just in the last six years.

 

There are perhaps those who believe that the May 2007 mid-term elections offer a path to resolve the country’s ills. They are unlikely to be very many. Probably much more common is a well-founded sense of despair that the elections are a momentary spectacle that in the end won’t mean any real change in governance much less in the country.

 

The most attention is given to the widespread electoral fraud and violence which are barefaced subversions of the democratic process. These are things already familiar to most Filipinos whether of the fading generation with a recollection of the so-called two-party system pre-Martial Law, of those born during the Marcos dictatorship, or of the generation who believed that they were favored for growing up amid a flawed but at least restored democracy under Aquino.

 

Unfortunately the despair actually has much deeper roots that strike down to the essential character of “democracy” in the Philippines: it is in many essential respects a false democracy that cannot but result in perpetual social crisis. The fraud and violence during elections are just some of the symptoms of the deep-seated social problem of elite domination of Philippine political life. Even including the appalling phenomenon of political dynasties, of trapo patronage and of brazen opportunist turncoatism still only gives part of the picture.

 

The problem with the country’s politics is that it remains fundamentally elite-dominated and so overwhelmingly about governance for and by elites. This is a problem that dates from the birth of the Philippine Republic at the turn of the century, continued through the American colonial period, and has alarmingly persisted under post-war neocolonialism until today. On the face of it the last hundred years appears to have seen democracy unevenly but surely taking root with, despite the Martial Law interregnum, inexorable forward progress. However the Philippines regrettably has yet to make the truly qualitative democratic breakthrough.

 

This is not to deny the many partial gains that have taken place for there is certainly an accumulation of positive steps. It is rather to underscore that, despite all these and the opportunities they open up, the essentially undemocratic character of the country’s politics remains. Philippine politics is changing, but it has yet to really change. Forces for democracy and more broad-based citizen’s participation in governance that genuinely serves their interests are increasing, but they have yet to overcome elite power.

 

Great resistance

 

Fortunately the undemocratic character of Philippine politics is being challenged. In ever-increasing numbers, Filipinos have defied the false “freedom of choice” offered by elite-dominated elections. Indeed the increasing violence with which this challenge is put down is back-handed testament to their ever-mounting successes. These all build up towards the much-desired qualitative change in Philippine politics.

 

At the core of this challenge is the understanding that Filipinos are kept in grinding poverty by elite domination of economic and political life. At the national level this is a set-up that big foreign powers such as the US favor. Lasting Philippine economic backwardness guarantees them a source of cheap labor and natural resources, as well as an outlet for recycling their surplus capital. It also guarantees that the country is weak enough to be subordinated to larger imperialist geopolitical and strategic objectives in the East Asian region.

 

However this unjust situation is also what has given rise to the greatest hope of overturning it. Social movements have formed and gather strength with the aim of replacing elite domination with a more democratic system that gives primacy to the interest of the majority of Filipinos.

 

The rise of social movements is important in the country’s attempt to establish a democracy. Their most vital contribution is the painstaking attention to building political consciousness at the grassroots. This is a political awareness that pays rigorous attention to addressing the roots of the country’s stifled modernity. Accompanying this understanding is moreover a commitment to organizing and direct participation in concrete struggles to build a democracy.

 

Ruling elites have worked to keep these in check and tried to put down their threats to the established order. On one hand they have not been able to prevent important victories such as the overthrow of the Marcos dictatorship in 1986 and the ouster of the corrupt Estrada presidency in 2001. At the same time they are especially careful to preserve their parliamentary bastions of elite power.

 

In 1946, six congressional representatives of the Democratic Alliance (DA) known to be opposed to unequal treaties with the US were prevented from taking their seats following trumped-up charges of electoral fraud and terrorism in Central Luzon. Especially working with allies in the Nacionalista Party (NP), they would have been enough to deny the three-fourths majority needed to ratify treaties in Congress.

 

In 1987, the Left-leaning Partido ng Bayan (PnB) which fielded candidates at the senatorial down to the local level came under violent attack by state forces. Six congressional candidates were assassinated, six other provincial coordinators killed, and hundreds more party leaders and members attacked and harassed. PnB offices were bombed and rallies disrupted or broken up.

 

The year 2001 saw the breakthrough of Left politics in Congress with the progressive political party Bayan Muna (BM) taking the maximum three party-list seats available to it in the House of Representatives. Strengthening and expansion continued in 2004– with six seats going to BM, Anakpawis (AP) and Gabriela Women’s Party (GWP). Political elites have however responded with a systematic and increasingly violent crackdown not just on these parties which have decisively won seats in Congress but also on the larger social and mass movement that they represent and draw their strength from.

 

Crisis and authoritarianism

 

The last six years have been brutal particularly for progressive and democratic forces. Most dramatic are the outright attacks on the mass movement and progressive political parties, including political killings, enforced disappearances, and assassination attempts. The attacks are wide-ranging and include black propaganda and vilification campaigns, illegal arrests, interrogations and torture. There are also pseudo-legal attacks on national leaders involving trumped-up rebellion and murder charges.

 

The suppression of dissent has at times taken on a legal façade falling just short of outright Martial Law. There was the “calibrated pre-emptive response” declared in September 2005 against protestors aside from a more assertive implementation of the Marcos era “no permit-no rally”. Executive Order (EO) 464, also declared in September 2005, prevented officials from appearing before investigations of high-level government electoral cheating and corruption. Presidential Proclamation 1017’s legally ambiguous “state of national emergency” was declared and sent the political signal that the Arroyo regime would not hesitate to mobilize its full powers against any and all opposition.

 

It is also worth mentioning how the deepening economic crisis and the shrinking of economic spoils from power also appear to have had another effect. The faction of the elite not in power– the mainstream political opposition– has also to some extent been subjected to political repression albeit to a much less degree than the democratic mass movement.

 

The post-election scenario augurs even more dangerous times for democracy. The National ID System has already begun to be implemented even if only on a limited scale so far. The National Security Plan’s (NISP) Oplan Bantay Laya II has already been drawn up with targets going beyond alleged terrorists to also include revolutionary armed groups and civilian Leftist organizations. All this coincides with global US military aggression waging a self-declared “war on terror” that, among others, aims to secure the Philippines as a key strategic location in East and Southeast Asia. There have already been massive increases in US military aid and intervention under the Arroyo regime aimed at eliminating not just armed liberation movements but also nationalist opposition to the US military presence.

 

The political situation is most obviously about Pres. Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo fighting for sheer political survival. She is beleaguered by issues of illegitimacy following the fraudulent 2004 presidential elections, by the persistence of high-level and grand-scale corruption, and by the economic problems caused by retrogressive “free market” policies. There is widespread public dissatisfaction which already resulted in two impeachment moves and a vigorous ouster campaign.

 

The current administration’s survival is now critically dependent on securing greater political control through the mid-term elections. Particularly important is control over the House of Representatives to forestall another impeachment move. Its comprehensive campaign to survive includes another episode of massive electoral fraud, using public funds for electioneering, brazen patronage politics, harassment of local opposition politicians and even subverting of the party-list system. The political killings and attacks in turn are aimed at maiming, if not decimating, among the most organized and effective forces demanding real change. The regime also seeks support from the US by promising charter change to further open up the economy and to allow the wholesale return of US troops.

 

However the political situation can also be seen at another level: as an elite-dominated system striving to preserve itself amid deepening economic and political crisis. The Filipino people have been engaged in a centuries-long struggle that is creating the real foundations for democracy. Against them are elites threatened by the rumble underfoot who are reacting viciously to preserve their rule. The hundreds of thousands of volunteers mobilizing across the country to watch the polls are engaged in a noble effort. However the fundamental social change sought will only come when millions of Filipinos are able to genuinely claim political power and put in place a true democracy. IBON Features